DeKalb County, Georgia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · GA

Medium

Composite Risk Score

94.3

National percentile: 94th

DeKalb County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.3, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $153M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

DeKalb County carries a medium composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 94.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 94th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Very High risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 61.14 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at High risk — $6M in expected annual loss and about 5.39 events per year; and riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at High risk — $97M in expected annual loss and about 1.93 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $153M in expected annual loss for a population of 764K.

Beyond physical exposure, DeKalb County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

History supports the rating: DeKalb County has received 17 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 5 for hurricane events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 159 Georgia counties, DeKalb County ranks #5 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $153M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 764K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $4M/yr
High $6M/yr
High $97M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Very High 61.14 / yr$4M
Hail High 5.39 / yr$6M
Riverine Flood High 1.93 / yr$97M
Tornado High 0.17 / yr$15M
Ice Storm Very High 1.39 / yr$2M
Strong Wind High 2.61 / yr$3M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr$13M
Cold Wave High 0.84 / yr$9M
Heat Wave Medium 2.27 / yr$4M
Landslide Low 0.46 / yr$13K
Hurricane Low 0.05 / yr$756K
Winter Weather Medium 2.63 / yr$109K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$32K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 29.02 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

DeKalb County has received 17 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (5), Severe Storm (4), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
February 2014Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2009Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
March 2008Severe StormSevere Storms and Tornadoes
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 17 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for DeKalb County?

DeKalb County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in DeKalb County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Very High, $4M EAL), Hail (High, $6M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $97M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does DeKalb County compare to other Georgia counties?

DeKalb County ranks #5 of 159 Georgia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has DeKalb County had?

FEMA records 17 federal disaster declarations for DeKalb County since 1973, most often 5 for hurricane events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. DeKalb County's $153M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.