Washington County, Florida Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · FL

Low

Composite Risk Score

59.4

National percentile: 59th

Washington County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 59.4, 59th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Washington County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 59.4 out of 100 — placing it in the 59th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Washington County's expected losses come from hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $11M in expected annual loss and about 0.23 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.48 events per year; and lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $371K in expected annual loss and about 81.91 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $19M in expected annual loss for a population of 25K.

Beyond physical exposure, Washington County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Washington County has received 40 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including 20 for hurricane events and 7 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.

Among 67 Florida counties, Washington County ranks #51 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $11M/yr
Medium $2M/yr
Medium $371K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.23 / yr$11M
Tornado Medium 0.48 / yr$2M
Lightning Medium 81.91 / yr$371K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$75K
Heat Wave Low 6.33 / yr$325K
Cold Wave Low 1.90 / yr$518K
Drought Low 22.21 / yr$40K
Riverine Flood Low 1.11 / yr$4M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$88K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr$159
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$707
Strong Wind Low 1.45 / yr$155K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.21 / yr$5K
Hail Very Low 0.88 / yr$18K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Washington County has received 40 federal disaster declarations since 1975, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (20), Severe Storm (7), Fire (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
September 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
August 2024Tropical StormHurricane Debby
August 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Debby
December 2022HurricaneHurricane Nicole
September 2022HurricaneHurricane Ian
September 2022HurricaneTropical Storm Ian
August 2021HurricaneTropical Storm Fred
September 2020HurricaneHurricane Sally
September 2020HurricaneHurricane Sally

Showing the 10 most recent of 40 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Washington County?

Washington County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 59.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 59th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Washington County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $11M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL), Lightning (Medium, $371K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Washington County compare to other Florida counties?

Washington County ranks #51 of 67 Florida counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Washington County had?

FEMA records 40 federal disaster declarations for Washington County since 1975, most often 20 for hurricane events and 7 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Washington County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.