Jefferson County

Florida — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

39.0

National percentile: 39th

Jefferson County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 39.0, 39th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Medium $3M/yr
Wildfire
Low $114K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $865K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.26 / yr $3M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $114K
Cold Wave Low 1.49 / yr $865K
Tornado Low 0.32 / yr $947K
Lightning Low 79.23 / yr $160K
Heat Wave Low 6.40 / yr $172K
Coastal Flood Very Low 3.76 / yr $9K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $50K
Drought Very Low 18.80 / yr $15K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.39 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Low 1.28 / yr $90K
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr $37
Winter Weather Very Low 0.28 / yr $5K
Hail Very Low 0.95 / yr $15K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Jefferson County?

Jefferson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 39.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 39th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Jefferson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $114K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $865K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Jefferson County compare to other Florida counties?

Jefferson County ranks #60 of 67 Florida counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Jefferson County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.