Calhoun County, Florida Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · FL

Low

Composite Risk Score

44.9

National percentile: 45th

Calhoun County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 44.9, 45th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Calhoun County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 44.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 45th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 0.25 events per year; lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $286K in expected annual loss and about 84.50 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Very Low risk — $61K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $11M in expected annual loss for a population of 14K.

Beyond physical exposure, Calhoun County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Calhoun County has received 43 federal disaster declarations since 1985, including 22 for hurricane events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.

Among 67 Florida counties, Calhoun County ranks #58 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $5M/yr
Medium $286K/yr
Very Low $61K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.25 / yr$5M
Lightning Medium 84.50 / yr$286K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$61K
Strong Wind Medium 1.29 / yr$542K
Tornado Low 0.38 / yr$1M
Drought Low 23.91 / yr$102K
Heat Wave Low 6.95 / yr$192K
Cold Wave Low 1.69 / yr$501K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.57 / yr$3M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$49K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$388
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr$29
Hail Very Low 0.76 / yr$15K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.16 / yr$3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Calhoun County has received 43 federal disaster declarations since 1985, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (22), Severe Storm (8), Tropical Storm (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
September 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
August 2024Tropical StormHurricane Debby
August 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Debby
August 2023HurricaneHurricane Idalia
August 2023Tropical StormTropical Storm Idalia
December 2022HurricaneHurricane Nicole
September 2022HurricaneHurricane Ian
September 2022HurricaneTropical Storm Ian
March 2022FireChipola Fire Complex

Showing the 10 most recent of 43 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Calhoun County?

Calhoun County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 44.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 45th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Calhoun County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $5M EAL), Lightning (Medium, $286K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $61K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Calhoun County compare to other Florida counties?

Calhoun County ranks #58 of 67 Florida counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Calhoun County had?

FEMA records 43 federal disaster declarations for Calhoun County since 1985, most often 22 for hurricane events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Calhoun County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.