Hendry County, Florida Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · FL

Low

Composite Risk Score

78.7

National percentile: 79th

Hendry County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 78.7, 79th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $22M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Hendry County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 78.7 out of 100 — placing it in the 79th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at High risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 102.39 events per year; hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at High risk — $10M in expected annual loss and about 0.30 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $22M in expected annual loss for a population of 39K.

Beyond physical exposure, Hendry County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Hendry County has received 38 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 18 for hurricane events and 5 for fire events. The most recent was Hurricane Milton (hurricane), declared in October 2024.

Among 67 Florida counties, Hendry County ranks #42 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $22M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 39K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $1M/yr
High $10M/yr
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 102.39 / yr$1M
Hurricane High 0.30 / yr$10M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr$1M
Drought Medium 19.66 / yr$647K
Strong Wind Medium 0.87 / yr$810K
Cold Wave Medium 2.43 / yr$2M
Riverine Flood Low 0.25 / yr$6M
Heat Wave Low 3.53 / yr$255K
Tornado Low 0.94 / yr$435K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$1K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$14K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr$40
Hail Very Low 0.96 / yr$15K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Winter Weather Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Hendry County has received 38 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Hurricane Milton in October 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (18), Fire (5), Freezing (5).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
October 2024HurricaneHurricane Milton
October 2024HurricaneHurricane Milton
August 2024Tropical StormHurricane Debby
August 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Debby
December 2022HurricaneHurricane Nicole
November 2022Tropical StormTropical Storm Nicole
September 2022HurricaneHurricane Ian
September 2022HurricaneTropical Storm Ian
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19

Showing the 10 most recent of 38 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hendry County?

Hendry County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 78.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 79th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hendry County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Hurricane (High, $10M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hendry County compare to other Florida counties?

Hendry County ranks #42 of 67 Florida counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Hendry County had?

FEMA records 38 federal disaster declarations for Hendry County since 1965, most often 18 for hurricane events and 5 for fire events. The most recent was Hurricane Milton, declared in October 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hendry County's $22M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.