Sonoma County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

99.1

National percentile: 99th

Sonoma County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 99.1, 99th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $605M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $605M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 488K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
High $5M/yr
Earthquake
High $284M/yr
Drought
High $14M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide High 67.44 / yr $5M
Earthquake High 0.12 / yr $284M
Drought High 33.50 / yr $14M
Riverine Flood High 2.54 / yr $280M
Wildfire High 0.00 / yr $17M
Heat Wave Medium 7.00 / yr $3M
Volcanic Activity Low 0.00 / yr $3K
Coastal Flood Medium 3.42 / yr $1M
Lightning Medium 3.73 / yr $341K
Tsunami Very Low 0.34 / yr $244K
Hail Very Low 0.02 / yr $60K
Tornado Very Low 0.08 / yr $163K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.02 / yr $119K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $10
Winter Weather Very Low 0.74 / yr $6K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Sonoma County?

Sonoma County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.1 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 99th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Sonoma County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (High, $5M EAL), Earthquake (High, $284M EAL), Drought (High, $14M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Sonoma County compare to other California counties?

Sonoma County ranks #13 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Sonoma County's $605M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.