Benton County, Arkansas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AR

Medium

Composite Risk Score

88.7

National percentile: 89th

Benton County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 88.7, 89th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $92M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Benton County carries a medium composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 88.7 out of 100 — placing it in the 89th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Benton County's expected losses come from ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Very High risk — $11M in expected annual loss and about 1.92 events per year; winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at High risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 11.26 events per year; and heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Medium risk — $7M in expected annual loss and about 9.68 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $92M in expected annual loss for a population of 284K.

Beyond physical exposure, Benton County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Benton County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 11 for severe storm events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 75 Arkansas counties, Benton County ranks #6 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $92M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 284K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $11M/yr
High $1M/yr
Medium $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.92 / yr$11M
Winter Weather High 11.26 / yr$1M
Heat Wave Medium 9.68 / yr$7M
Lightning High 57.61 / yr$2M
Strong Wind High 6.28 / yr$3M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr$3M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.50 / yr$50M
Landslide Medium 0.86 / yr$52K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$4M
Hail Medium 7.78 / yr$1M
Cold Wave Medium 1.84 / yr$5M
Tornado Medium 0.79 / yr$5M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$109K
Drought Low 10.66 / yr$129K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Benton County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (11), Flood (5), Severe Ice Storm (3).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
May 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
August 2020HurricaneHurricane Laura
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2017Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
February 2016Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
September 2013Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
May 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 25 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Benton County?

Benton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 88.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 89th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Benton County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $11M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Benton County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Benton County ranks #6 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Benton County had?

FEMA records 25 federal disaster declarations for Benton County since 1969, most often 11 for severe storm events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Benton County's $92M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.