St. Clair County, Alabama Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AL

Low

Composite Risk Score

72.1

National percentile: 72th

St. Clair County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 72.1, 72th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $33M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in St. Clair County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 72.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 72nd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at High risk — $9M in expected annual loss and about 0.64 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $32K in expected annual loss and about 0.90 events per year; and riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Medium risk — $18M in expected annual loss and about 1.04 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $33M in expected annual loss for a population of 91K.

Beyond physical exposure, St. Clair County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: St. Clair County has received 30 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 12 for severe storm events and 8 for hurricane events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.

Among 67 Alabama counties, St. Clair County ranks #26 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $33M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 91K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $9M/yr
Low $32K/yr
Medium $18M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.64 / yr$9M
Landslide Low 0.90 / yr$32K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.04 / yr$18M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$1M
Strong Wind Medium 3.29 / yr$1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$210K
Heat Wave Low 5.74 / yr$1M
Lightning Medium 65.61 / yr$540K
Cold Wave Low 0.89 / yr$2M
Hurricane Very Low 0.04 / yr$151K
Drought Low 28.95 / yr$103K
Ice Storm Low 0.38 / yr$58K
Hail Very Low 4.53 / yr$131K
Winter Weather Very Low 3.00 / yr$17K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

St. Clair County has received 30 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (12), Hurricane (8), Flood (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
September 2020HurricaneHurricane Sally
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
April 2018Severe StormSevere Storms and Tornadoes
October 2017HurricaneHurricane Nate
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
January 2016Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds

Showing the 10 most recent of 30 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for St. Clair County?

St. Clair County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 72.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 72th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in St. Clair County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $9M EAL), Landslide (Low, $32K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $18M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does St. Clair County compare to other Alabama counties?

St. Clair County ranks #26 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has St. Clair County had?

FEMA records 30 federal disaster declarations for St. Clair County since 1973, most often 12 for severe storm events and 8 for hurricane events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. St. Clair County's $33M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.