Morgan County

Alabama — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

88.8

National percentile: 89th

Morgan County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 88.8, 89th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $65M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $65M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 123K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
High $24M/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $6M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.68 / yr $24M
Lightning High 62.27 / yr $1M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $6M
Strong Wind High 5.74 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 7.58 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.39 / yr $24M
Cold Wave Medium 1.26 / yr $4M
Winter Weather Medium 4.37 / yr $214K
Ice Storm Medium 0.75 / yr $220K
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $417K
Hail Low 4.69 / yr $213K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $38K
Drought Low 26.94 / yr $106K
Landslide Very Low 0.34 / yr $190
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Morgan County?

Morgan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 88.8 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 89th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Morgan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $24M EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Morgan County compare to other Alabama counties?

Morgan County ranks #8 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Morgan County's $65M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.