Madison County

Alabama — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

94.6

National percentile: 95th

Madison County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.6, 95th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $180M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $180M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 388K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
High $32M/yr
Strong Wind
High $5M/yr
Lightning
Very High $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.87 / yr $32M
Strong Wind High 6.26 / yr $5M
Lightning Very High 61.34 / yr $3M
Cold Wave High 1.42 / yr $16M
Riverine Flood High 3.68 / yr $99M
Winter Weather High 4.74 / yr $778K
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $15M
Heat Wave Medium 7.58 / yr $6M
Ice Storm High 0.87 / yr $1M
Hurricane Low 0.02 / yr $685K
Drought Low 26.69 / yr $326K
Hail Low 4.42 / yr $307K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $23K
Landslide Very Low 0.36 / yr $531
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madison County?

Madison County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.6 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 95th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madison County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $32M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $5M EAL), Lightning (Very High, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madison County compare to other Alabama counties?

Madison County ranks #4 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madison County's $180M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.