Niobrara County

Wyoming — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

3.3

National percentile: 3th

Niobrara County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 3.3, 3th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $2M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 2K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Low $310K/yr
Winter Weather
Low $40K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $522K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $310K
Winter Weather Low 17.26 / yr $40K
Cold Wave Low 4.47 / yr $522K
Landslide Very Low 1.37 / yr $328
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $45K
Hail Very Low 3.03 / yr $68K
Drought Very Low 105.30 / yr $9K
Tornado Very Low 0.61 / yr $81K
Lightning Very Low 43.39 / yr $28K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.18 / yr $691K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.47 / yr $5K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.88 / yr $13K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Niobrara County?

Niobrara County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 3.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 3th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Niobrara County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $310K EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $40K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $522K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Niobrara County compare to other Wyoming counties?

Niobrara County ranks #23 of 23 Wyoming counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Niobrara County's $2M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.