Garfield County, Washington Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · WA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

1.6

National percentile: 2th

Garfield County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 1.6, 2th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Garfield County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 1.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 2nd national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Garfield County's expected losses come from wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $195K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at Very Low risk — $2K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; and landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Very Low risk — $3K in expected annual loss and about 0.58 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $2M in expected annual loss for a population of 2K.

Beyond physical exposure, Garfield County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Garfield County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1964, including 7 for flood events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides (flood), declared in April 2026.

Among 39 Washington counties, Garfield County ranks #39 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $2M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 2K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $195K/yr
Very Low $2K/yr
Very Low $3K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$195K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$2K
Landslide Very Low 0.58 / yr$3K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$30K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.22 / yr$13K
Heat Wave Very Low 4.19 / yr$42K
Drought Very Low 24.11 / yr$559
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.14 / yr$2M
Cold Wave Very Low 0.13 / yr$40K
Hail Very Low 0.36 / yr$20K
Winter Weather Very Low 10.80 / yr$2K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.22 / yr$12K
Tornado Very Low 0.02 / yr$4K
Lightning Very Low 14.34 / yr$2K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Garfield County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1964, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides in April 2026. Most frequent causes: Flood (7), Severe Storm (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2026FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2020FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
January 2016Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
March 2009Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Record and Near Record Snow
January 2009FloodSevere Winter Storm, Landslides, Mudslides, and Flooding
September 2005Coastal StormHurricane Katrina Evacuation
August 2005FireSchool Fire
January 1997Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Land & Muds Slides,Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 15 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Garfield County?

Garfield County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 1.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 2th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Garfield County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $195K EAL), Avalanche (Very Low, $2K EAL), Landslide (Very Low, $3K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Garfield County compare to other Washington counties?

Garfield County ranks #39 of 39 Washington counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Garfield County had?

FEMA records 15 federal disaster declarations for Garfield County since 1964, most often 7 for flood events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, declared in April 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Garfield County's $2M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.