Mathews County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

12.2

National percentile: 12th

Mathews County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 12.2, 12th national percentile), driven primarily by coastal flood and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 9K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Coastal Flood
Medium $2M/yr
Hurricane
Low $462K/yr
Drought
Low $100K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Coastal Flood Medium 3.69 / yr $2M
Hurricane Low 0.20 / yr $462K
Drought Low 2.66 / yr $100K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $20K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $74K
Ice Storm Low 0.89 / yr $26K
Strong Wind Low 1.02 / yr $190K
Heat Wave Very Low 5.37 / yr $73K
Tornado Very Low 0.11 / yr $133K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.58 / yr $100K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.46 / yr $1M
Hail Very Low 1.79 / yr $24K
Lightning Very Low 39.66 / yr $22K
Winter Weather Very Low 4.16 / yr $3K
Landslide Very Low 0.01 / yr $2
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mathews County?

Mathews County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 12.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 12th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mathews County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Coastal Flood (Medium, $2M EAL), Hurricane (Low, $462K EAL), Drought (Low, $100K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mathews County compare to other Virginia counties?

Mathews County ranks #100 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mathews County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.