Marlboro County, South Carolina Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · SC

Low

Composite Risk Score

57.5

National percentile: 57th

Marlboro County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 57.5, 57th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Marlboro County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 57.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 57th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Marlboro County's expected losses come from ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at High risk — $698K in expected annual loss and about 0.83 events per year; hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.23 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.25 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $11M in expected annual loss for a population of 27K.

Beyond physical exposure, Marlboro County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Marlboro County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1984, including 15 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 46 South Carolina counties, Marlboro County ranks #35 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 27K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $698K/yr
Medium $3M/yr
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 0.83 / yr$698K
Hurricane Medium 0.23 / yr$3M
Tornado Medium 0.25 / yr$2M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$133K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$557K
Strong Wind Medium 3.59 / yr$562K
Heat Wave Low 7.74 / yr$392K
Cold Wave Low 0.47 / yr$772K
Lightning Medium 56.30 / yr$180K
Drought Low 19.62 / yr$91K
Winter Weather Low 2.47 / yr$31K
Hail Low 3.52 / yr$110K
Riverine Flood Low 0.25 / yr$3M
Landslide Very Low 0.10 / yr$56
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Marlboro County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1984, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (15), Severe Storm (3), Tropical Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
August 2024Tropical StormHurricane Debby
August 2023HurricaneHurricane Idalia
November 2022HurricaneHurricane Ian
September 2022HurricaneHurricane Ian
May 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2019HurricaneHurricane Dorian

Showing the 10 most recent of 26 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Marlboro County?

Marlboro County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 57.5 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 57th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Marlboro County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $698K EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Marlboro County compare to other South Carolina counties?

Marlboro County ranks #35 of 46 South Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Marlboro County had?

FEMA records 26 federal disaster declarations for Marlboro County since 1984, most often 15 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Marlboro County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.