Bradford County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

73.1

National percentile: 73th

Bradford County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 73.1, 73th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $32M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $32M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 60K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $1M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $28M/yr
Landslide
Low $19K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 31.03 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 3.25 / yr $28M
Landslide Low 1.33 / yr $19K
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $561K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $759
Ice Storm Low 0.34 / yr $83K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $210K
Cold Wave Low 3.16 / yr $700K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.68 / yr $158K
Tornado Low 0.35 / yr $565K
Strong Wind Low 1.70 / yr $271K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $9K
Hail Very Low 2.01 / yr $71K
Winter Weather Very Low 14.53 / yr $8K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Bradford County?

Bradford County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 73.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 73th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Bradford County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $28M EAL), Landslide (Low, $19K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Bradford County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Bradford County ranks #32 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Bradford County's $32M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.