Lane County

Oregon — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

96.4

National percentile: 96th

Lane County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 96.4, 96th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $221M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $221M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 383K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
High $95M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $117M/yr
Volcanic Activity
Medium $197K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake High 0.02 / yr $95M
Riverine Flood High 0.86 / yr $117M
Volcanic Activity Medium 0.01 / yr $197K
Heat Wave Medium 4.49 / yr $5M
Landslide Medium 5.47 / yr $45K
Lightning High 7.54 / yr $1M
Winter Weather High 19.74 / yr $313K
Ice Storm High 0.32 / yr $505K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $155K
Strong Wind Medium 0.03 / yr $650K
Coastal Flood Low 3.65 / yr $288K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $482
Cold Wave Low 0.13 / yr $735K
Hail Very Low 0.17 / yr $119K
Tsunami Very Low 0.15 / yr $240K
Tornado Very Low 0.12 / yr $248K
Drought Very Low 17.89 / yr $1K
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lane County?

Lane County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 96.4 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 96th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lane County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (High, $95M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $117M EAL), Volcanic Activity (Medium, $197K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lane County compare to other Oregon counties?

Lane County ranks #2 of 36 Oregon counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lane County's $221M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.