Crook County, Oregon Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OR

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

33.6

National percentile: 34th

Crook County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 33.6, 34th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Crook County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 33.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 34th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at Low risk — $101K in expected annual loss and about 0.07 events per year; and landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $8K in expected annual loss and about 0.79 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $10M in expected annual loss for a population of 25K.

Beyond physical exposure, Crook County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Crook County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1964, including 3 for severe storm events and 2 for fire events. The most recent was Highland Fire (fire), declared in July 2025.

Among 36 Oregon counties, Crook County ranks #27 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $3M/yr
Low $101K/yr
Low $8K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr$3M
Avalanche Low 0.07 / yr$101K
Landslide Low 0.79 / yr$8K
Winter Weather Medium 15.11 / yr$142K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$88
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$684K
Lightning Medium 15.24 / yr$313K
Hail Low 0.32 / yr$304K
Riverine Flood Low 0.25 / yr$4M
Cold Wave Low 0.13 / yr$276K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.52 / yr$70K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr$14K
Drought Very Low 88.26 / yr$776
Strong Wind Very Low 0.07 / yr$72K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr$9K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Crook County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1964, most recently Highland Fire in July 2025. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (3), Fire (2), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
July 2025FireHighland Fire
September 2024FireRail Ridge Fire
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
February 2011Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Flooding, Mudslides, Landslides, and Debris Flows
March 2006Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
September 2005Coastal StormHurricane Katrina Evacuation
February 2004Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
June 1998FloodFlooding
April 1977DroughtDrought

Showing the 10 most recent of 11 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Crook County?

Crook County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 33.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 34th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Crook County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $3M EAL), Avalanche (Low, $101K EAL), Landslide (Low, $8K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Crook County compare to other Oregon counties?

Crook County ranks #27 of 36 Oregon counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Crook County had?

FEMA records 11 federal disaster declarations for Crook County since 1964, most often 3 for severe storm events and 2 for fire events. The most recent was Highland Fire, declared in July 2025.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Crook County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.