Dickey County, North Dakota Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · ND

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

15.8

National percentile: 16th

Dickey County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 15.8, 16th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Dickey County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 15.8 out of 100 — placing it in the 16th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at Medium risk — $244K in expected annual loss and about 22.89 events per year; cold wave (prolonged spells of dangerously low temperatures) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 17.00 events per year; and hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $717K in expected annual loss and about 3.58 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $6M in expected annual loss for a population of 5K.

Beyond physical exposure, Dickey County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The federal record bears this out: Dickey County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1966, including 17 for flood events and 9 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds (winter storm), declared in February 2024.

Among 53 North Dakota counties, Dickey County ranks #23 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $244K/yr
Medium $3M/yr
Medium $717K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Medium 22.89 / yr$244K
Cold Wave Medium 17.00 / yr$3M
Hail Medium 3.58 / yr$717K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$66K
Ice Storm Low 0.48 / yr$107K
Strong Wind Low 2.23 / yr$501K
Drought Very Low 6.03 / yr$15K
Tornado Very Low 0.53 / yr$356K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr$101
Heat Wave Very Low 2.00 / yr$31K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$7K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.46 / yr$918K
Lightning Very Low 31.35 / yr$6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Dickey County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1966, most recently Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds in February 2024. Most frequent causes: Flood (17), Severe Storm (9), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2024Winter StormSevere Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds
July 2023FloodFlooding
February 2023SnowstormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Straight-Line Winds
July 2022Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Flooding
July 2020FloodFlooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
January 2020FloodFlooding
June 2019FloodFlooding
May 2011FloodFlooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 32 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Dickey County?

Dickey County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 15.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 16th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Dickey County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Medium, $244K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Hail (Medium, $717K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Dickey County compare to other North Dakota counties?

Dickey County ranks #23 of 53 North Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Dickey County had?

FEMA records 32 federal disaster declarations for Dickey County since 1966, most often 17 for flood events and 9 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, declared in February 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Dickey County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.