Churchill County, Nevada Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · NV

Low

Composite Risk Score

47.3

National percentile: 47th

Churchill County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 47.3, 47th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and volcanic activity exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Churchill County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 47.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 47th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Churchill County's expected losses come from earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Medium risk — $7M in expected annual loss and about 0.03 events per year; volcanic activity (eruptions producing ashfall, lava, and pyroclastic hazards) at Low risk — $4K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $793K in expected annual loss and about 143.64 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $16M in expected annual loss for a population of 26K.

Beyond physical exposure, Churchill County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Churchill County has received 7 federal disaster declarations since 1997, including 2 for biological events and 2 for severe storm events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic (biological), declared in April 2020.

Among 17 Nevada counties, Churchill County ranks #8 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 26K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $7M/yr
Low $4K/yr
Medium $793K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.03 / yr$7M
Volcanic Activity Low 0.00 / yr$4K
Drought Medium 143.64 / yr$793K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$121K
Winter Weather Low 7.31 / yr$77K
Riverine Flood Low 0.21 / yr$7M
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$331
Landslide Very Low 4.96 / yr$645
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr$26K
Lightning Low 18.06 / yr$95K
Heat Wave Very Low 4.63 / yr$100K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.13 / yr$81K
Hail Very Low 0.05 / yr$27K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr$2
Tornado Very Low 0.09 / yr$2K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Churchill County has received 7 federal disaster declarations since 1997, most recently Covid-19 Pandemic in April 2020. Most frequent causes: Biological (2), Severe Storm (2), Snowstorm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2017Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
February 2005SnowstormSnow
February 2005SnowstormRecord and/Or Near Record Snow
January 1997Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud and Landslides

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Churchill County?

Churchill County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 47.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 47th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Churchill County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $7M EAL), Volcanic Activity (Low, $4K EAL), Drought (Medium, $793K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Churchill County compare to other Nevada counties?

Churchill County ranks #8 of 17 Nevada counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Churchill County had?

FEMA records 7 federal disaster declarations for Churchill County since 1997, most often 2 for biological events and 2 for severe storm events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic, declared in April 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Churchill County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.