Box Butte County

Nebraska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

21.0

National percentile: 21th

Box Butte County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 21.0, 21th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 11K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $4M/yr
Hail
Medium $1M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $137K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 84.33 / yr $4M
Hail Medium 4.71 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Medium 15.21 / yr $137K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $103K
Lightning Low 43.81 / yr $298K
Ice Storm Low 0.03 / yr $102K
Cold Wave Low 5.79 / yr $998K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $108K
Tornado Low 0.51 / yr $611K
Strong Wind Low 1.40 / yr $204K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.63 / yr $21K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.11 / yr $955K
Landslide Very Low 0.16 / yr $8
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Box Butte County?

Box Butte County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 21.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 21th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Box Butte County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $4M EAL), Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $137K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Box Butte County compare to other Nebraska counties?

Box Butte County ranks #48 of 93 Nebraska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Box Butte County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.