Fallon County
Montana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 5th
Fallon County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 5.4, 5th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Cold Wave | Medium | 8.16 / yr | $3M |
| Winter Weather | Low | 16.32 / yr | $116K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $93K |
| Hail | Very Low | 2.19 / yr | $126K |
| Drought | Very Low | 54.59 / yr | $6K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.16 / yr | $19K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.50 / yr | $80 |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 1.95 / yr | $39K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.18 / yr | $98K |
| Lightning | Very Low | 32.11 / yr | $38K |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 1.33 / yr | $83K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $10K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.43 / yr | $1M |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Fallon County?
Fallon County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 5.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 5th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Fallon County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $116K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $93K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Fallon County compare to other Montana counties?
Fallon County ranks #45 of 56 Montana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Fallon County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.