Adair County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

28.7

National percentile: 29th

Adair County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 28.7, 29th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Low $40K/yr
Tornado
Medium $4M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $928K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 0.46 / yr $40K
Tornado Medium 0.27 / yr $4M
Heat Wave Low 7.84 / yr $928K
Hail Low 3.39 / yr $440K
Strong Wind Low 3.33 / yr $666K
Drought Low 11.48 / yr $161K
Lightning Low 47.00 / yr $238K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $37K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $177K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.11 / yr $4M
Cold Wave Low 4.58 / yr $442K
Winter Weather Very Low 11.05 / yr $23K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.27 / yr $17K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Adair County?

Adair County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 28.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 29th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Adair County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $40K EAL), Tornado (Medium, $4M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $928K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Adair County compare to other Missouri counties?

Adair County ranks #88 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Adair County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.