Webster County, Mississippi Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MS

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

12.6

National percentile: 13th

Webster County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 12.6, 13th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Webster County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 12.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 13th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $394K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $221K in expected annual loss and about 15.47 events per year; and hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Very Low risk — $90K in expected annual loss and about 0.06 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $4M in expected annual loss for a population of 10K.

Beyond physical exposure, Webster County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Webster County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 9 for severe storm events and 5 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in February 2026.

Among 82 Mississippi counties, Webster County ranks #78 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $394K/yr
Low $221K/yr
Very Low $90K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$394K
Drought Low 15.47 / yr$221K
Hurricane Very Low 0.06 / yr$90K
Tornado Low 0.36 / yr$844K
Heat Wave Low 12.05 / yr$222K
Hail Low 3.38 / yr$148K
Ice Storm Low 1.06 / yr$44K
Landslide Very Low 0.42 / yr$564
Lightning Low 67.12 / yr$120K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr$456K
Strong Wind Low 2.07 / yr$172K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$7K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.71 / yr$1M
Winter Weather Very Low 2.84 / yr$2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Webster County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in February 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (9), Hurricane (5), Winter Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
October 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
August 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
May 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
April 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
April 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
May 2017Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 22 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Webster County?

Webster County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 12.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 13th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Webster County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $394K EAL), Drought (Low, $221K EAL), Hurricane (Very Low, $90K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Webster County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Webster County ranks #78 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Webster County had?

FEMA records 22 federal disaster declarations for Webster County since 1973, most often 9 for severe storm events and 5 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in February 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Webster County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.