Suffolk County

Massachusetts — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

93.5

National percentile: 94th

Suffolk County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.5, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $115M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $115M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 796K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
Very High $2M/yr
Heat Wave
High $9M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $12M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Very High 19.97 / yr $2M
Heat Wave High 5.25 / yr $9M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $12M
Riverine Flood High 1.68 / yr $60M
Cold Wave High 1.19 / yr $9M
Hurricane High 0.18 / yr $13M
Coastal Flood High 7.40 / yr $6M
Ice Storm Medium 1.01 / yr $329K
Hail Medium 1.64 / yr $615K
Tornado Medium 0.02 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 0.70 / yr $480K
Winter Weather Low 12.22 / yr $43K
Landslide Very Low 0.02 / yr $406
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 6.68 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Suffolk County?

Suffolk County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.5 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Suffolk County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Very High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (High, $9M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $12M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Suffolk County compare to other Massachusetts counties?

Suffolk County ranks #3 of 14 Massachusetts counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Suffolk County's $115M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.