Essex County

Massachusetts — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

95.6

National percentile: 96th

Essex County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 95.6, 96th national percentile), driven primarily by coastal flood and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $199M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $199M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 809K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Coastal Flood
Very High $19M/yr
Ice Storm
Very High $3M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $125M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Coastal Flood Very High 8.13 / yr $19M
Ice Storm Very High 1.46 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood High 2.68 / yr $125M
Lightning High 19.41 / yr $2M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $15M
Hurricane High 0.17 / yr $15M
Tornado High 0.12 / yr $9M
Heat Wave Medium 5.07 / yr $4M
Drought Medium 8.48 / yr $2M
Strong Wind High 0.75 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Medium 1.38 / yr $4M
Landslide Low 0.25 / yr $3K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $83K
Winter Weather Low 15.06 / yr $59K
Hail Very Low 1.79 / yr $53K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Essex County?

Essex County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 95.6 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 96th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Essex County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Coastal Flood (Very High, $19M EAL), Ice Storm (Very High, $3M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $125M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Essex County compare to other Massachusetts counties?

Essex County ranks #2 of 14 Massachusetts counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Essex County's $199M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.