St. Mary's County

Maryland — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

42.6

National percentile: 43th

St. Mary's County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 42.6, 43th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $22M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $22M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 114K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Medium $6M/yr
Drought
Medium $1M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.12 / yr $6M
Drought Medium 3.60 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Low 6.26 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Medium 4.69 / yr $1M
Coastal Flood Medium 3.65 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $132K
Winter Weather Low 6.53 / yr $143K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $670K
Lightning Low 38.47 / yr $490K
Ice Storm Low 0.49 / yr $167K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr $2K
Tornado Low 0.45 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Low 2.57 / yr $7M
Hail Low 2.64 / yr $237K
Cold Wave Low 1.05 / yr $654K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for St. Mary's County?

St. Mary's County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 42.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 43th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in St. Mary's County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $6M EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does St. Mary's County compare to other Maryland counties?

St. Mary's County ranks #19 of 24 Maryland counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. St. Mary's County's $22M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.