Waldo County, Maine Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · ME

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

40.6

National percentile: 41th

Waldo County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 40.6, 41th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Waldo County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 40.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 41st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at High risk — $896K in expected annual loss and about 31.87 events per year; ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at High risk — $971K in expected annual loss and about 1.25 events per year; and hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.09 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $13M in expected annual loss for a population of 40K.

Beyond physical exposure, Waldo County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Waldo County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1970, including 12 for severe storm events and 8 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding (severe storm), declared in March 2024.

Among 16 Maine counties, Waldo County ranks #13 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 40K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $896K/yr
High $971K/yr
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 31.87 / yr$896K
Ice Storm High 1.25 / yr$971K
Hurricane Medium 0.09 / yr$3M
Lightning Medium 15.00 / yr$468K
Cold Wave Low 3.30 / yr$2M
Landslide Very Low 0.43 / yr$3K
Coastal Flood Low 10.59 / yr$435K
Drought Low 4.16 / yr$216K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$190K
Riverine Flood Low 0.79 / yr$5M
Hail Very Low 0.72 / yr$89K
Strong Wind Low 0.69 / yr$204K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.84 / yr$65K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$7K
Tornado Very Low 0.03 / yr$160K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$20
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Waldo County has received 28 federal disaster declarations since 1970, most recently Severe Storms and Flooding in March 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (12), Flood (8), Hurricane (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
March 2024Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
January 2024Severe StormSevere Storm and Flooding
September 2023HurricaneHurricane Lee
July 2023FloodSevere Storm and Flooding
March 2023Severe StormSevere Storm and Flooding
March 2022Coastal StormSevere Storm and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
January 2018Severe StormSevere Storm and Flooding
July 2009Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Landslides

Showing the 10 most recent of 28 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Waldo County?

Waldo County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 40.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 41th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Waldo County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $896K EAL), Ice Storm (High, $971K EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Waldo County compare to other Maine counties?

Waldo County ranks #13 of 16 Maine counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Waldo County had?

FEMA records 28 federal disaster declarations for Waldo County since 1970, most often 12 for severe storm events and 8 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding, declared in March 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Waldo County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.