St. Clair County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

94.9

National percentile: 95th

St. Clair County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.9, 95th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $175M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $175M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 257K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
High $15M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $51M/yr
Hail
High $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave High 14.79 / yr $15M
Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $51M
Hail High 5.20 / yr $5M
Cold Wave High 1.42 / yr $15M
Tornado High 0.58 / yr $13M
Riverine Flood High 1.79 / yr $72M
Lightning High 51.93 / yr $2M
Ice Storm High 1.39 / yr $1M
Winter Weather High 9.00 / yr $333K
Landslide Low 0.46 / yr $28K
Drought Low 1.66 / yr $314K
Strong Wind Medium 6.15 / yr $627K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $21K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for St. Clair County?

St. Clair County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.9 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 95th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in St. Clair County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (High, $15M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $51M EAL), Hail (High, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does St. Clair County compare to other Illinois counties?

St. Clair County ranks #5 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. St. Clair County's $175M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.