Rock Island County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

84.1

National percentile: 84th

Rock Island County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 84.1, 84th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $45M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $45M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 145K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
High $11M/yr
Strong Wind
High $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave High 6.26 / yr $11M
Strong Wind High 6.18 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 7.21 / yr $4M
Hail Medium 3.99 / yr $2M
Tornado High 0.42 / yr $7M
Winter Weather High 15.58 / yr $360K
Lightning High 44.04 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 0.25 / yr $23K
Ice Storm Medium 0.67 / yr $366K
Riverine Flood Medium 3.07 / yr $17M
Drought Medium 8.53 / yr $464K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $451K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Rock Island County?

Rock Island County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 84.1 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 84th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Rock Island County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $11M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Rock Island County compare to other Illinois counties?

Rock Island County ranks #19 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Rock Island County's $45M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.