Madison County

Idaho — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

58.6

National percentile: 59th

Madison County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 58.6, 59th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $22M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $22M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 53K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $1M/yr
Earthquake
Low $4M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $6M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 36.45 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $4M
Cold Wave Medium 2.12 / yr $6M
Heat Wave Low 1.24 / yr $1M
Avalanche Low 0.03 / yr $11K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $194K
Winter Weather Medium 21.27 / yr $134K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $63
Landslide Low 0.26 / yr $4K
Riverine Flood Low 0.64 / yr $9M
Hail Low 0.33 / yr $210K
Drought Very Low 39.51 / yr $6K
Strong Wind Low 0.69 / yr $187K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $13K
Tornado Very Low 0.04 / yr $70K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madison County?

Madison County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 58.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 59th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madison County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $4M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madison County compare to other Idaho counties?

Madison County ranks #11 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madison County's $22M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.