Capitol Planning Region

Connecticut — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

97.4

National percentile: 97th

Capitol Planning Region faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 97.4, 97th national percentile), driven primarily by riverine flood and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $302M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $302M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 975K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Riverine Flood
High $240M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $9M/yr
Ice Storm
Very High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Riverine Flood High 3.54 / yr $240M
Heat Wave Medium 6.67 / yr $9M
Ice Storm Very High 2.50 / yr $2M
Cold Wave High 1.74 / yr $12M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $11M
Hurricane High 0.15 / yr $15M
Lightning High 26.49 / yr $1M
Tornado High 0.33 / yr $8M
Landslide Medium 0.80 / yr $44K
Winter Weather High 15.91 / yr $317K
Strong Wind Medium 2.23 / yr $2M
Hail Medium 2.56 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $76K
Drought Low 3.47 / yr $193K
Coastal Flood Very Low 3.69 / yr $14K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Capitol Planning Region?

Capitol Planning Region has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.4 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 97th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Capitol Planning Region?

The three highest-rated hazards are Riverine Flood (High, $240M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $9M EAL), Ice Storm (Very High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Capitol Planning Region compare to other Connecticut counties?

Capitol Planning Region ranks #1 of 9 Connecticut counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Capitol Planning Region's $302M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.