Douglas County

Colorado — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

88.7

National percentile: 89th

Douglas County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 88.7, 89th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $114M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $114M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 358K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
Very High $8M/yr
Hail
High $13M/yr
Wildfire
High $26M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Very High 58.57 / yr $8M
Hail High 7.46 / yr $13M
Wildfire High 0.01 / yr $26M
Winter Weather Very High 18.04 / yr $1M
Tornado High 0.75 / yr $14M
Strong Wind High 1.03 / yr $4M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.36 / yr $44M
Landslide Low 0.86 / yr $20K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $85
Cold Wave Low 0.95 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $779K
Heat Wave Low 0.24 / yr $702K
Ice Storm Low 0.01 / yr $90K
Drought Low 23.77 / yr $57K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $11
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Douglas County?

Douglas County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 88.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 89th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Douglas County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Very High, $8M EAL), Hail (High, $13M EAL), Wildfire (High, $26M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Douglas County compare to other Colorado counties?

Douglas County ranks #9 of 64 Colorado counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Douglas County's $114M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.