Sacramento County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

98.1

National percentile: 98th

Sacramento County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 98.1, 98th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $352M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $352M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 1.58M Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $14M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $216M/yr
Earthquake
High $108M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 62.96 / yr $14M
Riverine Flood High 1.93 / yr $216M
Earthquake High 0.12 / yr $108M
Heat Wave Medium 6.97 / yr $8M
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $5M
Landslide Low 4.11 / yr $15K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $377
Tornado Medium 0.12 / yr $2M
Lightning Medium 8.11 / yr $385K
Hail Low 0.07 / yr $314K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.03 / yr $56K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.06 / yr $5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $0
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Sacramento County?

Sacramento County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 98.1 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 98th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Sacramento County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $14M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $216M EAL), Earthquake (High, $108M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Sacramento County compare to other California counties?

Sacramento County ranks #18 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Sacramento County's $352M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.