Hempstead County, Arkansas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AR

Low

Composite Risk Score

52.1

National percentile: 52th

Hempstead County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 52.1, 52th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Hempstead County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 52.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 52nd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Hempstead County's expected losses come from ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Very High risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.38 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $995K in expected annual loss and about 4.85 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $811K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $12M in expected annual loss for a population of 20K.

Beyond physical exposure, Hempstead County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Hempstead County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1968, including 12 for severe storm events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 75 Arkansas counties, Hempstead County ranks #41 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $2M/yr
Medium $995K/yr
Low $811K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 0.38 / yr$2M
Hail Medium 4.85 / yr$995K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$811K
Tornado Medium 0.48 / yr$2M
Heat Wave Low 17.84 / yr$626K
Strong Wind Medium 4.10 / yr$646K
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr$240K
Lightning Medium 63.25 / yr$282K
Drought Low 23.70 / yr$209K
Winter Weather Low 4.68 / yr$50K
Riverine Flood Low 1.29 / yr$4M
Landslide Very Low 0.20 / yr$309
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$12K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.89 / yr$76K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Hempstead County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1968, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (12), Flood (5), Hurricane (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
May 2025FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
August 2020HurricaneHurricane Laura
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
February 2010Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
June 2009Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
October 2008Severe StormTropical Storm Ike

Showing the 10 most recent of 26 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hempstead County?

Hempstead County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 52.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 52th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hempstead County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $2M EAL), Hail (Medium, $995K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $811K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hempstead County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Hempstead County ranks #41 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Hempstead County had?

FEMA records 26 federal disaster declarations for Hempstead County since 1968, most often 12 for severe storm events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hempstead County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.