Washington County, Alabama Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AL

Low

Composite Risk Score

45.6

National percentile: 46th

Washington County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 45.6, 46th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Washington County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 45.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 46th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Washington County's expected losses come from hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 0.21 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.84 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $94K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $11M in expected annual loss for a population of 15K.

Beyond physical exposure, Washington County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The federal record bears this out: Washington County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including 15 for hurricane events and 6 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.

Among 67 Alabama counties, Washington County ranks #47 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $4M/yr
Medium $2M/yr
Low $94K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.21 / yr$4M
Tornado Medium 0.84 / yr$2M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$94K
Strong Wind Medium 2.39 / yr$595K
Lightning Low 79.81 / yr$201K
Heat Wave Low 8.67 / yr$315K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$167K
Drought Low 13.61 / yr$80K
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr$561K
Riverine Flood Low 0.79 / yr$3M
Landslide Very Low 0.29 / yr$289
Hail Very Low 2.33 / yr$89K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$497
Ice Storm Very Low 0.44 / yr$12K
Winter Weather Very Low 1.32 / yr$13K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Washington County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1975, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (15), Severe Storm (6), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
December 2020HurricaneHurricane Zeta
September 2020HurricaneHurricane Sally
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
November 2017HurricaneHurricane Nate
October 2017HurricaneHurricane Nate
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
May 2014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Washington County?

Washington County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 45.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 46th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Washington County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $4M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $94K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Washington County compare to other Alabama counties?

Washington County ranks #47 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Washington County had?

FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Washington County since 1975, most often 15 for hurricane events and 6 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Washington County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.