Conecuh County, Alabama Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AL
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 31th
Conecuh County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 31.1, 31th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
Conecuh County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 31.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 31st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
Risk here concentrates in hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.16 events per year; lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $222K in expected annual loss and about 76.49 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Low risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.61 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $6M in expected annual loss for a population of 12K.
Beyond physical exposure, Conecuh County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.
History supports the rating: Conecuh County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including 14 for hurricane events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.
Among 67 Alabama counties, Conecuh County ranks #58 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | Medium | 0.16 / yr | $2M |
| Lightning | Medium | 76.49 / yr | $222K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.61 / yr | $1M |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $29K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 7.21 / yr | $225K |
| Drought | Low | 18.89 / yr | $73K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $111K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.29 / yr | $487 |
| Strong Wind | Low | 2.11 / yr | $211K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 1.05 / yr | $213K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.46 / yr | $2M |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 0.95 / yr | $7K |
| Hail | Very Low | 1.56 / yr | $20K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.14 / yr | $1K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Conecuh County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1975, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (14), Severe Storm (8), Biological (2).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| September 2024 | Hurricane | Hurricane Helene |
| January 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes |
| September 2020 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sally |
| September 2020 | Hurricane | Hurricane Sally |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| October 2018 | Hurricane | Hurricane Michael |
| October 2017 | Hurricane | Hurricane Nate |
| September 2017 | Hurricane | Hurricane Irma |
| January 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Conecuh County?
Conecuh County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 31.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 31th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Conecuh County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $2M EAL), Lightning (Medium, $222K EAL), Tornado (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Conecuh County compare to other Alabama counties?
Conecuh County ranks #58 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Conecuh County had?
FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Conecuh County since 1975, most often 14 for hurricane events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Conecuh County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.