Bullock County, Alabama Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AL

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

25.3

National percentile: 25th

Bullock County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 25.3, 25th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Bullock County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 25.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 25th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at High risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 39.17 events per year; hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Low risk — $699K in expected annual loss and about 0.12 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Low risk — $934K in expected annual loss and about 0.58 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $5M in expected annual loss for a population of 10K.

Beyond physical exposure, Bullock County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

History supports the rating: Bullock County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1975, including 10 for hurricane events and 9 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.

Among 67 Alabama counties, Bullock County ranks #64 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $1M/yr
Low $699K/yr
Low $934K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 39.17 / yr$1M
Hurricane Low 0.12 / yr$699K
Tornado Low 0.58 / yr$934K
Strong Wind Medium 1.57 / yr$358K
Heat Wave Low 8.95 / yr$222K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$22K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$128K
Landslide Very Low 0.24 / yr$419
Lightning Low 68.50 / yr$97K
Hail Very Low 2.19 / yr$53K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.36 / yr$1M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.49 / yr$7K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.37 / yr$45K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.95 / yr$2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Bullock County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1975, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (10), Severe Storm (9), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
September 2020HurricaneHurricane Sally
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Michael
October 2017HurricaneHurricane Nate
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
January 2016Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
May 2014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 24 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Bullock County?

Bullock County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 25.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 25th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Bullock County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $1M EAL), Hurricane (Low, $699K EAL), Tornado (Low, $934K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Bullock County compare to other Alabama counties?

Bullock County ranks #64 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Bullock County had?

FEMA records 24 federal disaster declarations for Bullock County since 1975, most often 10 for hurricane events and 9 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Bullock County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.