Lincoln County

Wyoming — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

51.9

National percentile: 52th

Lincoln County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 51.9, 52th national percentile), driven primarily by avalanche and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $18M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $18M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Avalanche
Very High $8M/yr
Landslide
Medium $144K/yr
Earthquake
Low $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Avalanche Very High 1.47 / yr $8M
Landslide Medium 4.79 / yr $144K
Earthquake Low 0.03 / yr $4M
Winter Weather High 24.99 / yr $359K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $644K
Lightning Medium 36.93 / yr $562K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $7
Riverine Flood Low 0.64 / yr $4M
Drought Very Low 87.64 / yr $6K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.29 / yr $167K
Tornado Very Low 0.16 / yr $113K
Hail Very Low 0.15 / yr $42K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.27 / yr $86K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 51.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 52th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Avalanche (Very High, $8M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $144K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Wyoming counties?

Lincoln County ranks #8 of 23 Wyoming counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $18M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.