Goshen County

Wyoming — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

28.5

National percentile: 28th

Goshen County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 28.5, 28th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Medium $1M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $207K/yr
Wildfire
Low $218K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 4.28 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Medium 15.85 / yr $207K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $218K
Cold Wave Medium 3.79 / yr $2M
Drought Low 80.71 / yr $216K
Ice Storm Low 0.03 / yr $87K
Tornado Low 1.05 / yr $1M
Lightning Low 45.90 / yr $166K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $144K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.86 / yr $4M
Landslide Very Low 0.57 / yr $124
Strong Wind Low 0.87 / yr $152K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.63 / yr $31K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Goshen County?

Goshen County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 28.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 28th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Goshen County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $207K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $218K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Goshen County compare to other Wyoming counties?

Goshen County ranks #14 of 23 Wyoming counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Goshen County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.