Wasatch County, Utah Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · UT

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

33.5

National percentile: 34th

Wasatch County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 33.5, 34th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $17M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Wasatch County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 33.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 34th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Wasatch County's expected losses come from landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Medium risk — $240K in expected annual loss and about 1.01 events per year; wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Medium risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at High risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 1.17 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $17M in expected annual loss for a population of 35K.

Beyond physical exposure, Wasatch County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Wasatch County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 6 for flood events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Flooding (flood), declared in December 2023.

Among 29 Utah counties, Wasatch County ranks #14 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $17M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 35K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $240K/yr
Medium $4M/yr
High $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.01 / yr$240K
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr$4M
Avalanche High 1.17 / yr$3M
Winter Weather High 48.00 / yr$751K
Lightning Medium 46.49 / yr$769K
Earthquake Very Low 0.01 / yr$667K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$8
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.04 / yr$6M
Strong Wind Low 0.71 / yr$429K
Drought Very Low 59.24 / yr$17K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.06 / yr$70K
Tornado Very Low 0.06 / yr$139K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr$8K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.03 / yr$59K
Hail Very Low 0.27 / yr$22K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Wasatch County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Flooding in December 2023. Most frequent causes: Flood (6), Biological (2), Fire (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
December 2023FloodFlooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
July 2018FireDollar Ridge Fire
August 2011FloodFlooding
September 2005Coastal StormHurricane Katrina Evacuation
August 2005FloodFlooding and Landslides
March 1986FloodHeavy Rains, Snowmelt & Flooding
August 1984FloodSevere Storms, Mudslides, Landslides & Flooding
April 1983FloodSevere Storms, Landslides & Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 11 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wasatch County?

Wasatch County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 33.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 34th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wasatch County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $240K EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $4M EAL), Avalanche (High, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wasatch County compare to other Utah counties?

Wasatch County ranks #14 of 29 Utah counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Wasatch County had?

FEMA records 11 federal disaster declarations for Wasatch County since 1977, most often 6 for flood events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Flooding, declared in December 2023.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wasatch County's $17M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.