Tillamook County

Oregon — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

81.3

National percentile: 81th

Tillamook County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 81.3, 81th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $39M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $39M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 27K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $14M/yr
Landslide
Medium $66K/yr
Volcanic Activity
Very Low $657/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.02 / yr $14M
Landslide Medium 6.86 / yr $66K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.01 / yr $657
Tsunami Medium 0.15 / yr $9M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.32 / yr $15M
Coastal Flood Medium 3.83 / yr $766K
Ice Storm Low 0.36 / yr $62K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $28K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $215
Heat Wave Very Low 3.46 / yr $135K
Strong Wind Low 0.05 / yr $180K
Winter Weather Very Low 12.02 / yr $11K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.13 / yr $103K
Drought Very Low 1.03 / yr $1
Lightning Very Low 5.77 / yr $37K
Tornado Very Low 0.11 / yr $67K
Hail Very Low 0.04 / yr $8K
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Tillamook County?

Tillamook County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 81.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 81th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Tillamook County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $14M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $66K EAL), Volcanic Activity (Very Low, $657 EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Tillamook County compare to other Oregon counties?

Tillamook County ranks #18 of 36 Oregon counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Tillamook County's $39M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.