Warren County

Ohio — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

77.8

National percentile: 78th

Warren County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 77.8, 78th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $62M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $62M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 242K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $1M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $39M/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.19 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 3.11 / yr $39M
Lightning High 48.78 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.26 / yr $8M
Cold Wave Medium 3.26 / yr $7M
Winter Weather Medium 11.53 / yr $321K
Strong Wind Medium 2.04 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 0.14 / yr $7K
Heat Wave Low 5.79 / yr $1M
Hail Low 3.37 / yr $570K
Drought Low 1.97 / yr $201K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $36K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $11K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Warren County?

Warren County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 77.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 78th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Warren County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $39M EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Warren County compare to other Ohio counties?

Warren County ranks #15 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Warren County's $62M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.