Preble County, Ohio Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OH

Low

Composite Risk Score

43.3

National percentile: 43th

Preble County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 43.3, 43th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $15M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Preble County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 43.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 43rd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 3.14 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 0.32 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $577K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $15M in expected annual loss for a population of 41K.

Beyond physical exposure, Preble County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Preble County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 4 for severe storm events and 3 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic (biological), declared in March 2020.

Among 88 Ohio counties, Preble County ranks #60 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $15M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 41K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $1M/yr
Medium $4M/yr
Low $577K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Medium 3.14 / yr$1M
Tornado Medium 0.32 / yr$4M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$577K
Ice Storm Medium 1.03 / yr$153K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr$2K
Riverine Flood Low 1.61 / yr$7M
Cold Wave Low 4.26 / yr$913K
Hail Low 3.79 / yr$248K
Winter Weather Low 11.11 / yr$43K
Lightning Low 46.31 / yr$152K
Heat Wave Very Low 5.21 / yr$178K
Drought Very Low 0.38 / yr$27K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$13K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Preble County has received 11 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Covid-19 Pandemic in March 2020. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (4), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2012Severe StormSevere Storms
October 2008Severe StormSevere Wind Storm Associated with Tropical Depression Ike
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
January 2005SnowstormSnow
September 2004Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
March 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Record/Near Record Snow
June 1989FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
January 1978SnowstormBlizzards & Snowstorms

Showing the 10 most recent of 11 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Preble County?

Preble County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 43.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 43th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Preble County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Medium, $1M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $4M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $577K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Preble County compare to other Ohio counties?

Preble County ranks #60 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Preble County had?

FEMA records 11 federal disaster declarations for Preble County since 1977, most often 4 for severe storm events and 3 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic, declared in March 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Preble County's $15M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.