Knox County, Ohio Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OH

Low

Composite Risk Score

61.0

National percentile: 61th

Knox County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 61.0, 61th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Knox County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 61.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 61st national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Knox County's expected losses come from hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 3.77 events per year; strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 2.13 events per year; and ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Medium risk — $320K in expected annual loss and about 0.37 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $19M in expected annual loss for a population of 63K.

Beyond physical exposure, Knox County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The federal record bears this out: Knox County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 7 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic (biological), declared in March 2020.

Among 88 Ohio counties, Knox County ranks #41 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 63K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $1M/yr
Medium $1M/yr
Medium $320K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 3.77 / yr$1M
Strong Wind Medium 2.13 / yr$1M
Ice Storm Medium 0.37 / yr$320K
Winter Weather Medium 9.42 / yr$157K
Riverine Flood Low 0.93 / yr$12M
Landslide Low 0.28 / yr$3K
Lightning Medium 41.99 / yr$347K
Tornado Low 0.25 / yr$2M
Heat Wave Low 2.47 / yr$463K
Cold Wave Low 4.16 / yr$1M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$217K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$27K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$17K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Knox County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Covid-19 Pandemic in March 2020. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
August 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
June 2012Severe StormSevere Storms
October 2008Severe StormSevere Wind Storm Associated with Tropical Depression Ike
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
February 2005Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides
September 2004Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
June 2004Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
September 2003OtherPower Outage

Showing the 10 most recent of 13 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Knox County?

Knox County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 61.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 61th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Knox County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $1M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $320K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Knox County compare to other Ohio counties?

Knox County ranks #41 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Knox County had?

FEMA records 13 federal disaster declarations for Knox County since 1977, most often 7 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic, declared in March 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Knox County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.