Geauga County, Ohio Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OH

Low

Composite Risk Score

60.3

National percentile: 60th

Geauga County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 60.3, 60th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Geauga County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 60.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 60th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at High risk — $476K in expected annual loss and about 24.37 events per year; strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at High risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 1.99 events per year; and hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $618K in expected annual loss and about 3.58 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $20M in expected annual loss for a population of 95K.

Beyond physical exposure, Geauga County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Geauga County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 5 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic (biological), declared in March 2020.

Among 88 Ohio counties, Geauga County ranks #43 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 95K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $476K/yr
High $2M/yr
Medium $618K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 24.37 / yr$476K
Strong Wind High 1.99 / yr$2M
Hail Medium 3.58 / yr$618K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.00 / yr$14M
Ice Storm Medium 0.99 / yr$223K
Tornado Low 0.16 / yr$2M
Heat Wave Low 1.58 / yr$439K
Lightning Low 39.73 / yr$234K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$209K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr$40K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$28K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr$401
Cold Wave Very Low 3.11 / yr$272K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Geauga County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Covid-19 Pandemic in March 2020. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (5), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2012Severe StormSevere Storms
April 2008SnowstormRecord Snow and Near Record Snow
August 2006Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight Line Winds, and Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
September 2004Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
June 2004Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
September 2003OtherPower Outage
August 1992Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 13 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Geauga County?

Geauga County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 60.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 60th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Geauga County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $476K EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL), Hail (Medium, $618K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Geauga County compare to other Ohio counties?

Geauga County ranks #43 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Geauga County had?

FEMA records 13 federal disaster declarations for Geauga County since 1969, most often 5 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic, declared in March 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Geauga County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.