Rota Municipality, Northern Mariana Islands Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MP

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

0.0

National percentile: 0th

Rota Municipality faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 0.0, 0th national percentile), driven primarily by a mix of natural hazards exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Rota Municipality at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 0.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 0th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

No individual hazard records measurable expected loss in Rota Municipality in the current dataset, which keeps its overall expected annual loss low at $3M.

Beyond physical exposure, Rota Municipality has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Rota Municipality has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1987, including 17 for typhoon events and 5 for tropical storm events. The most recent was Typhoon Bavi (tropical storm), declared in July 2026.

Among 3 Northern Mariana Islands counties, Rota Municipality ranks #1 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $3M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 2K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Avalanche
Very Low $0/yr
Coastal Flood
Very Low $6K/yr
Cold Wave
Very Low $0/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$6K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Earthquake Very Low 0.07 / yr$350K
Hail Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.14 / yr$949K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$86
Landslide Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Lightning Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Strong Wind Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.12 / yr$1M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.01 / yr$45
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Winter Weather Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Rota Municipality has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1987, most recently Typhoon Bavi in July 2026. Most frequent causes: Typhoon (17), Tropical Storm (5), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
July 2026Tropical StormTyphoon Bavi
April 2026HurricaneSuper Typhoon Sinlaku
April 2026Tropical StormTyphoon Sinlaku
October 2023Tropical StormTropical Storm Bolaven
June 2023Tropical StormTyphoon Mawar
May 2023Tropical StormTyphoon Mawar
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2019TyphoonTyphoon Bualoi
October 2019TyphoonTyphoon Hagibis

Showing the 10 most recent of 25 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Rota Municipality?

Rota Municipality has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 0.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 0th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Rota Municipality?

The three highest-rated hazards are Avalanche (Very Low, $0 EAL), Coastal Flood (Very Low, $6K EAL), Cold Wave (Very Low, $0 EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Rota Municipality compare to other Northern Mariana Islands counties?

Rota Municipality ranks #1 of 3 Northern Mariana Islands counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Rota Municipality had?

FEMA records 25 federal disaster declarations for Rota Municipality since 1987, most often 17 for typhoon events and 5 for tropical storm events. The most recent was Typhoon Bavi, declared in July 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Rota Municipality's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.