Warren County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

50.8

National percentile: 51th

Warren County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 50.8, 51th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 19K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Medium $2M/yr
Drought
Medium $668K/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $120K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.17 / yr $2M
Drought Medium 15.58 / yr $668K
Winter Weather Medium 6.89 / yr $120K
Tornado Low 0.21 / yr $1000K
Hail Low 3.16 / yr $207K
Riverine Flood Low 0.79 / yr $5M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $227K
Heat Wave Low 5.79 / yr $249K
Ice Storm Low 1.39 / yr $44K
Lightning Low 45.72 / yr $74K
Cold Wave Low 0.68 / yr $288K
Strong Wind Low 0.85 / yr $185K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $7K
Landslide Very Low 0.20 / yr $93
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Warren County?

Warren County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 50.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 51th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Warren County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $2M EAL), Drought (Medium, $668K EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $120K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Warren County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Warren County ranks #74 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Warren County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.