Grafton County

New Hampshire — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

81.8

National percentile: 82th

Grafton County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 81.8, 82th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $50M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $50M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 91K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $544K/yr
Winter Weather
High $608K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $43M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 3.35 / yr $544K
Winter Weather High 22.07 / yr $608K
Riverine Flood Medium 4.29 / yr $43M
Lightning Medium 19.69 / yr $828K
Hurricane Low 0.06 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.60 / yr $332K
Avalanche Low 0.01 / yr $13K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $848K
Cold Wave Low 3.92 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Low 0.79 / yr $577K
Heat Wave Low 1.01 / yr $310K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $16K
Tornado Very Low 0.18 / yr $378K
Hail Very Low 1.62 / yr $75K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grafton County?

Grafton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 81.8 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 82th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Grafton County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $544K EAL), Winter Weather (High, $608K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $43M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Grafton County compare to other New Hampshire counties?

Grafton County ranks #3 of 10 New Hampshire counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grafton County's $50M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.