McPherson County, Nebraska Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · NE

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

0.1

National percentile: 0th

McPherson County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 0.1, 0th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $526K.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates McPherson County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 0.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 0th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $115K in expected annual loss and about 57.36 events per year; wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Very Low risk — $35K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Very Low risk — $128K in expected annual loss and about 6.26 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $526K in expected annual loss for a population of 399.

Beyond physical exposure, McPherson County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: McPherson County has received 10 federal disaster declarations since 2001, including 7 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (severe storm), declared in September 2024.

Among 93 Nebraska counties, McPherson County ranks #93 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $526K Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 399 Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $115K/yr
Very Low $35K/yr
Very Low $128K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Low 57.36 / yr$115K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$35K
Hail Very Low 6.26 / yr$128K
Winter Weather Very Low 16.42 / yr$8K
Landslide Very Low 0.68 / yr$19
Tornado Very Low 0.37 / yr$33K
Cold Wave Very Low 5.05 / yr$24K
Strong Wind Very Low 2.07 / yr$31K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.11 / yr$2K
Lightning Very Low 42.54 / yr$8K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$1K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.02 / yr$396
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.04 / yr$141K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

McPherson County has received 10 federal disaster declarations since 2001, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
July 2010Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
June 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
August 2007Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
January 2006Severe StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuees
July 2003Severe StormSevere Storms and Tornadoes
May 2001Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding and Tornadoes

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McPherson County?

McPherson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 0.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 0th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McPherson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Low, $115K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $35K EAL), Hail (Very Low, $128K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McPherson County compare to other Nebraska counties?

McPherson County ranks #93 of 93 Nebraska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has McPherson County had?

FEMA records 10 federal disaster declarations for McPherson County since 2001, most often 7 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McPherson County's $526K EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.