Lincoln County

Nebraska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

48.6

National percentile: 49th

Lincoln County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 48.6, 49th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $17M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $17M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 35K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
High $3M/yr
Winter Weather
High $447K/yr
Drought
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail High 7.26 / yr $3M
Winter Weather High 16.11 / yr $447K
Drought Medium 88.85 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $275K
Cold Wave Low 4.63 / yr $2M
Tornado Low 1.47 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Low 2.74 / yr $621K
Heat Wave Low 4.21 / yr $422K
Riverine Flood Low 1.50 / yr $7M
Lightning Low 43.11 / yr $211K
Landslide Very Low 1.06 / yr $713
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $98K
Ice Storm Low 0.02 / yr $31K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 48.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 49th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (High, $3M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $447K EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Nebraska counties?

Lincoln County ranks #17 of 93 Nebraska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $17M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.